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September 15, 2006
Interesting New Contracts at Intrade
In the past few days, the online prediction market Intrade has doubled its number of contracts for both US or Israeli strikes against Iran and for the capture or killing of Osama bin Laden. The actual contracts can't be pointed to, so you'll have to go there and poke around a bit to find them.
This probably reflects a desire on the part of the Intrade folks to keep on top of these events, rather than any unusual movements in those markets.
Posted by Chester at September 15, 2006 5:11 AM
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Comments
Well given Presidents Bush's latest speeches on the subject, I think a hit sometime before he leaves office on Jan. 2008 is very likely. Last guess on a Nuke for Iran that I read was about a year from August 2006. If that was correct then I'd guess July 2007 at the longest.
Posted by: toad at September 17, 2006 7:38 AM